The world of pharmaceuticals and biotechnology continued to evolve
this year with strategic alliances reshaping industry contours. With mid-size
deals taking centerstage, the growth trajectory appears to be marked by a
balance of both caution and calculated ambition.The deal-making environment was robust in 2023, with over 2,000
unique pharma and biotech deals totaling more than US$ 410 billion, according
to the PharmaCompass database. Last year, there were over 200 mergers and acquisitions (M&As) with transactions exceeding US$ 160 billion in total value. Oncology, infections and infectious diseases, and neurology had emerged as the top three therapeutic areas for deals.PharmaCompass’ analysis indicates that the momentum has been maintained in 2024. As of August 6, the industry had seen over 1,200 unique deals valued at more than US$ 230 billion, including over 120 M&A transactions surpassing US$ 60 billion in aggregate value. While oncology maintains its lead position, neurology and immunology have gained notable traction.The one big difference is that 2024 is yet to witness a mega-deal,
comparable to Pfizer’s US$ 43 billion acquisition of Seagen in 2023 or Amgen’s US$ 27.8 billion Horizon buyout announced in 2022. The largest transaction
thus far has been Novo Nordisk Foundation’s US$ 16.5 billion acquisition of Catalent, a contract development and manufacturing organization (CDMO).This
compilation does not include deals related to acquisition of facilities,
divestment, medical devices, diagnostics and animal health. We have considered
deals announced, irrespective of when these transactions were completed. For a comprehensive overview of CDMO deals and developments
in 2024, please refer to our dedicated roundup.View Pharma & Biotech Acquisitions, Deals & Agreements in 2024 as of Aug. 6 (Free Excel Available) Vertex buys Alpine Immune for US$ 4.9 bn; Gilead’s CymaBay buyout pays off via FDA nodAmongst the biggest acquisitions of 2024 was Vertex Pharmaceuticals’ buyout of Alpine Immune Sciences for US$ 4.9 billion. It granted Vertex access to protein-based immunotherapies, including the promising povetacicept for IgA nephropathy, a serious kidney disease.Gilead Sciences’ acquisition of CymaBay Therapeutics for US$ 4.3 billion in February secured it
access to seladelpar (Livdelzi), an experimental drug that received FDA’s accelerated approval this month for primary biliary cholangitis, a liver disease that affects the bile ducts. Eli Lilly bolstered its presence in
the US$ 26.65 billion inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) market by purchasing Morphic Holding for approximately US$ 3.2 billion in July. Through this deal,
Lilly gained the oral IBD therapy candidate MORF-057, which will offer a more
convenient dosing option compared to injectable drugs currently available in
the market. Lilly sees the IBD space as a way to diversify beyond obesity.Merck expanded its ophthalmology portfolio by acquiring Eyebiotech Limited
for US$ 1.3 billion (plus US$
1.7 billion in milestone payments), obtaining Restoret for diabetic macular edema and neovascular age-related macular degeneration.Japanese drugmaker Ono Pharmaceutical acquired Deciphera Pharmaceuticals for US$ 2.4 billion, gaining Qinlock for
gastrointestinal stromal tumors and vimseltinib for tenosynovial giant cell
tumors. Sanofi targeted rare diseases by
purchasing Inhibrx for up to US$ 2.2 billion. The acquisition gave the French drugmaker access to INBRX-101 for Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, a genetic condition that can cause lung and liver damage.View Pharma & Biotech Acquisitions, Deals & Agreements in 2024 as of Aug. 6 (Free Excel Available) Novartis buys two oncology firms for their assets; J&J, Genmab join ADC bandwagonNovartis has been on a shopping
spree, and has made two significant purchases this year. First, it acquired MorphoSys for € 2.7 billion (US$ 2.9 billion), thereby
adding the promising bone-marrow cancer treatment pelabresib to its pipeline. Second, it
announced the acquisition of Mariana Oncology for US$ 1 billion upfront (plus US$ 750 million in milestone payments), thereby expanding into radioligand
therapies (RLTs) to treat cancers with high unmet need. RLTs take a
targeted approach, delivering radiation to the tumor, while limiting damage to
the surrounding cells.AstraZeneca entered the field of
radioconjugates, which is a promising modality in the treatment of cancer, by
acquiring Fusion Pharmaceuticals for US$ 2.4 billion.In January this year, Johnson & Johnson had announced the acquisition of
antibody-drug-conjugate (ADC) developer Ambrx Biopharma for about US$ 2 billion. With this buyout, J&J has joined the likes of Bristol Myers Squibb, AbbVie and GSK who had entered this
promising field through acquisitions last year.Similarly, Denmark’s Genmab bought ProfoundBio for US$ 1.8 billion in cash, boosting its
oncology portfolio with three next-generation ADC candidates. This includes Rina-S, which recently received FDA’s fast track designation for the treatment of ovarian cancer.View Pharma & Biotech Acquisitions, Deals & Agreements in 2024 as of Aug. 6 (Free Excel Available) Novartis signs multiple
collaborations; GSK, Takeda, AbbVie sign billion-dollar dealsNovartis was not just busy signing M&A deals, it also signed a bevy of collaboration agreements. For instance, Shanghai-based Argo partnered Novartis on two
early-stage RNA interference candidates for cardiovascular diseases,
potentially earning the former up to US$ 4.2 billion plus tiered royalties.Novartis also agreed to pay up to US$ 3 billion (including US$ 150 million
upfront) to Dren Bio to use the latter’s Targeted Myeloid Engager and Phagocytosis platform to develop bispecific antibodies to treat cancer.Moreover, the Swiss drugmaker expanded its peptide discovery
collaboration with Japan-based PeptiDream in a deal worth over US$ 2.71 billion in milestone payments, plus an upfront payment of US$ 180 million. Peptide-drug conjugates (PDCs) are the next generation of targeted therapeutic drugs after ADCs and Novartis is, thus far, the only big pharma with FDA-approved radioligand PDCs. GSK entered a groundbreaking
partnership with Flagship Pioneering, potentially worth over US$ 7 billion, to identify and develop 10
novel drugs and vaccines. The deal, starting with respiratory and immunology
drugs, involves US$ 720 million in upfront and milestone payments for each candidate. This collaboration leverages Flagship’s extensive portfolio of over 40 biopharma companies with drug development capabilities.There were two significant deals in the field of neuroscience.
First, Takeda said it is paying Swiss
biotech AC Immune US$ 100 million upfront with potential further payments of US$ 2.1 billion for an exclusive option to license global rights to an Alzheimer’s vaccine and related immunotherapies.Second, AbbVie and clinical stage biotech Gilgamesh Pharmaceuticals joined forces in a deal
potentially worth over US$ 2 billion to develop a new class of psychedelic compounds for psychiatric conditions, combining AbbVie’s psychiatric expertise with Gilgamesh’s innovative neuroplastogen research platform.View Pharma & Biotech Acquisitions, Deals & Agreements in 2024 as of Aug. 6 (Free Excel Available) Our viewDuring this year, companies like Novartis (with US$ 16.8 billion), GSK (US$ 14.5 billion), Sanofi (US$ 11.9 billion), Bristol Myers Squibb (US$ 11.6 billion), and AbbVie (US$ 9.1 billion) have made
substantial investments in acquisitions, collaborations and other forms of
dealmaking.Though the deal-making environment is robust, we notice a shift towards mid-size transactions. Alongside, we notice a growing interest in areas such as ADCs, radiopharmaceuticals, and protein-based immunotherapies, underscoring their growing importance in drug development. There has also been significant interest in silencing RNA (siRNA) therapeutics, highlighting the industry's focus on novel approaches to disease treatment. With the industry focusing on cutting-edge technologies that address unmet medical needs, we feel there is little reason to fret over the size of the deals.
Impressions: 590
The pharma industry clearly recalibrated itself in 2023, turning its focus away from Covid and onto two of the biggest threats to human health – obesity and cancer. The top lines of the major pharma companies reflect this shift in focus.We
always knew that Pfizer’s record US$ 100 billion revenue for 2022 wasn’t sustainable. Even though Pfizer’s 2023 sales were lower by nearly 42 percent against its 2022 sales, the New York-headquartered drugmaker managed to retain its pole position. The two main reasons behind its ‘top of the charts’ sales of US$ 58.5 billion were Pfizer’s record nine new molecular entity approvals by the US
Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and the launch of its vaccine for
respiratory syncytial virus (RSV).Johnson & Johnson came second with sales of US$ 54.8
billion (excluding its consumer business and MedTech units). AbbVie took bronze despite Humira being subject to biosimilar competition
and Merck maintained its fourth position. Roche nabbed the fifth position from Novartis (which stood sixth). Bristol Myers Squibb maintained its position at seven, as did
AstraZeneca (eighth) and Sanofi (ninth). And Eli Lilly bumped into the tenth spot, knocking out
GSK.View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs in 2023 by Sales (Free Excel Available)Keytruda, Eliquis, Humira top charts; Novo’s Ozempic debuts top 10 list at number fourMerck’s Keytruda became the number one selling drug in the world, a position that was held
by AbbVie’s Humira for long, and Pfizer’s Comirnaty in the Covid years. This
oncology drug raked in a whopping US$ 25 billion, with sales increasing 19 percent last
year. In fact, Keytruda accounted for 46.7 percent of Merck’s pharmaceutical sales, which grew 3 percent in 2023 to US$ 53.6 billion.At number two was
Pfizer and BMS’ anticoagulant Eliquis — it posted global sales of US$
18.95 billion (marking a
growth of 4
percent on 2022 sales). With
competition from generics, Humira’s sales fell by 32 percent to US$ 14.5 billion. As a result, this
blockbuster anti-rheumatic drug fell to the third rank.The
fourth spot was taken up by Novo Nordisk’s Ozempic, the wonder drug that treats type 2
diabetes. Gilead’s Biktarvy, a med that treats HIV-1, saw sales jump 14 percent — from US$ 10.39 billion posted in 2022 to US$ 11.85 billion last year. This way, Biktarvy emerged as
the fifth largest selling drug of 2023.At
number six was Sanofi and Regeneron’s Dupixent. This allergic diseases med posted
11-figure sales in 2023, netting € 10.72 billion (US$ 11.59 billion) globally, a growth of 34 percent over
2022 numbers.At
number seven was J&J’s biggest blockbuster immunology drug Stelara that raked in US$ 11.3 billion in 2023. Coming a close eighth was Pfizer-BioNTech’s Covid-19 vaccine Comirnaty — its sales fell by over 70 percent to US$ 11.22 billion in 2023. At the ninth spot was Lilly and Boehringer’s diabetes drug Jardiance that saw a 27.7 percent increase in
total global sales at US$ 10.6 billion. And rounding off the list at number 10
is BMS’s Opdivo, a Keytruda rival. Opdivo hauled in US$ 10 billion
in total global sales in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 8 percent.View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs in 2023 by Sales (Free Excel Available)Driven by diabetes, obesity care meds,
Novo, Lilly post double-digit sales growthDemand
for diabetes and new weight-loss drugs catapulted Novo Nordisk to emerge as the most valuable public
company in Europe. Its net sales zoomed 31 percent to DKK 232.3 billion (US$ 33.75 billion) compared to DKK 177
billion (US$ 25.8 billion) in 2022. Net profit jumped 51 percent to DKK 83.68 billion (US$ 12.51 billion) in 2023 from DKK
55.5 billion (US$ 8.32
billion) in 2022 — the highest annual profit for the Danish drugmaker in over three decades.The
growth was driven by Ozempic, whose sales spiked 60 percent in 2023
to DKK 95.7 billion (US$ 13.91 billion), from DKK 59.8 billion (US$ 8.71 billion) the
year before.Rival
Eli Lilly’s revenue grew 20 percent in 2023 to US$ 34.1 billion from US$ 28.5 billion in 2022. Mounjaro turned out to be a star for the
Indianapolis drugmaker with its sales rocketing 970 percent in 2023 to US$ 5.16 billion. FDA also approved it to treat obesity
under the brand name Zepbound in November, which brought in additional
revenues of US$ 176 million.View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs in 2023 by Sales (Free Excel Available) GSK’s RSV jab makes strong debut; AbbVie’s immunology drugs post steep growthGSK’s Arexvy was the first RSV vaccine approved by the FDA. It made a strong debut — Arexvy contributed £ 1.2 billion (US$ 1.5 billion) to GSK’s sales in just four months.AbbVie posted another solid financial year.
Though the drop in Humira revenue was offset by two newer
immunology blockbuster drugs, Skyrizi and Rinvoq, the Illinois-headquartered drugmaker
did posted a marginal decrease in revenue of 6.4 percent to US$ 54.3 billion. However, revenue from Skyrizi soared 50 percent to US$ 7.8 billion,
while Rinvoq’s sales increased 57 percent to US$ 4
billion. AbbVie expects a combined US$ 16 billion from Skyrizi (US$ 10.5 billion) and Rinvoq (US$ 5.5 billion) sales in 2024. BMS attributed its 2 percent decrease in
revenue (of US$ 45 billion) to lower sales of Revlimid in the US due to competition from
generics. Sales of the multiple myeloma treatment dropped 39 percent to US$ 6.1
billion. Ophthalmology drug Eylea saw a drop in sales of
4 percent, at US$ 9.21 billion (from US$ 9.65 billion), as competition from Roche’s Vabysmo triggered a price cut by Regeneron. Vabysmo saw sales balloon 324 percent
from CHF 591 million (US$ 685.56 million) to CHF 2.4 billion (US$ 2.78 billion) in 2023.View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs in 2023 by Sales (Free Excel Available) Our viewAccording
to data analytics company GlobalData, GLP-1 agonist drugs (such as Ozempic and Mounjaro that treat type 2 diabetes) are slated to overtake PD-1 antagonists (such as oncology drugs
Keytruda and Opdivo) as the top-selling drugs on the market
in 2024. It estimates a robust compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.2
percent from 2023 to 2029 for GLP-1 drugs that seem to have more benefits
besides bringing down blood sugar levels (such as weight management, benefits
to the heart etc).The
market size for GLP-1 is likely to increase to US$ 105 billion by 2029. In
contrast, the data firm projects a CAGR of 4.7 percent in the PD-1 antagonist
market, with its market size projected to be around US$ 51 billion in 2029.
Given these projections, we are likely to see more movers and shakers in our
top 10 drug list this year.
Impressions: 3302
Every year, the list of top pharmaceutical products and companies by sales sees some churn. But the year 2021 was a lot different — it saw the pharma industry landscape change dramatically. It was a
year when the industry was busy developing vaccines and therapies so that the
world could recover from the Covid-19 pandemic. And this resulted in many
drugmakers raking in billions of dollars in sales.
As a result,
the top company of 2020 in terms
of pharmaceutical sales — Roche — slipped to the number five spot, while Pfizer, which was at number eight in 2020 after
spinning off its generic business, moved up to the number one slot.
The year
proved to be a good one for pharmaceutical companies.
Interestingly, last year none of the top 20 pharmaceutical companies saw a decline in
their revenue.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs by Sales in 2021 (Free Excel Available)
Pfizer’s Comirnaty steals the show
The
company that reaped the maximum gains from its Covid vaccine was Pfizer.
Comirnaty (tozinameran) was the top selling pharmaceutical
product of 2021, posting global revenues of US$ 36.8 billion. This
messenger-RNA Covid-19 vaccine, developed along with its German partner BioNTech, catapulted Pfizer to the slot of the top company by sales in 2021. Pfizer’s global topline grew from US$ 41.7 billion in 2020 to US$ 81.3 billion in 2021.
In
2020, Pfizer was at
number eight, behind Roche, Novartis, GSK, AbbVie, J&J, Merck and BMS. In 2021, it took a lead of billions of dollars on all these companies. The second largest drug company by sales — AbbVie — was way down at US$ 56.1 billion in global revenues. In fact, Comirnaty has
become the fastest-selling drug in the history of the pharmaceutical
industry.
Back in
December 2020, when both Comirnaty and Moderna’s Spikevax had bagged the US Food and Drug Administration’s emergency use authorization (EUA), there was a lot of uncertainty around how the promised doses would be delivered across the world. But both Comirnaty and Spikevax have proven to be a resounding success. Spikevax emerged as the third largest selling pharmaceutical product of 2021, bringing in US$ 17.7 billion for Moderna.
Analysts
expect both Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna to sell even more vaccines in
2022. The reasons are manifold. First, SARS-CoV-2 is able to mutate often, and
is unlikely to be eradicated in the near future, creating a need for booster
shots. Second, the younger age groups are still to get vaccinated.
Along with
Comirnaty, Pfizer is battling Covid-19 with its antiviral pill, Paxlovid. Though the sales of Paxlovid have nosedived of late, Pfizer expects
Comirnaty and Paxlovid to help the New York-headquartered drug behemoth achieve US$ 100 billion
in 2022 revenues.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs by Sales in 2021 (Free Excel Available)
AbbVie
moves up, sans Covid product; Roche slips to number five
With no
Covid-19 related products, AbbVie did fairly well in 2021 — it moved up from the number four spot in 2020 to number two position, thanks to its Allergan acquisition, cash cow Humira (adalimumab), the continued success of its
cancer drug Imbruvica (ibrutinib) and an increase in sale of its psoriasis treatment Skyrizi (risankizumab) by a whopping 85 percent in 2021. Humira brought in sales of US$ 21.2 billion for AbbVie in 2021. However, things may change soon, with biosimilars of Humira slated to enter the market in 2023. The years 2022 and 2023 are likely to be transition years for AbbVie, as it works to build the market for its Humira successors — Rinvoq and Skyrizi.
Roche
emerged as a big loser in 2021, as several copycats of its blockbuster drugs
hit the market. Copycats to Roche’s three blockbuster cancer drugs—Avastin, Herceptin and Rituxan—eroded US$ 4.9 billion (CHF 4.73 billion) from the company’s sales in 2021. A large chunk
of growth for Roche came from its multiple sclerosis med Ocrevus, hemophilia drug Hemlibra, inflammatory disease therapy Actemra and PD-L1 inhibitor Tecentriq. The pandemic resulted in
lower-than-expected sales of Ocrevus (ocrelizumab) due to fears around its
immunosuppressive effects.
Like Roche, Novartis also slipped last year. It fell from
number two in 2020 to the number four slot in 2021. Essentially, Novartis is
struggling with a relatively lackluster pipeline. It had sold its 33 percent stake in Roche last
year for US$ 20.7 billion. It plans to use that sum for acquisitions in order
to beef up its pipeline. The Swiss drugmaker has also drawn up a restructuring
plan that includes layoffs of thousands of employees.
Before the
pandemic, Merck’s Keytruda was touted as the drug that would overtake
Humira at the top in 2024. The checkpoint inhibitor has continued to grow
impressively, adding new indications and treatment lines. Keytruda is now used
in close to 40 indications. With US$ 17.2 billion in sales, Keytruda emerged as
the fourth largest selling drug of 2022.
Overall
though, Merck slipped from number six to the number eight slot. This was due to
the fact that Merck had spun out its women’s
health, biosimilars and established brands businesses into Organon. However, its Covid-19 antiviral pill — Molnupiravir — was able to compensate for the lost revenue. Though the FDA is yet to grant the drug a full approval (it bagged an EUA in December 2021), advance sales agreements helped it rack up US$ 952 million in sales in the fourth quarter.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs by Sales in 2021 (Free Excel Available)
BMS moves
up with Eliquis, Revlimid; J&J lands at number three
Bristol Myers Squibb (BMS) moved up from number seven in 2020 to number six, thanks to two of its drugs that made it to top 10 — anticoagulant Eliquis at number five and oncology drug Revlimid at number six. However, Revlimid will soon face competition — four generic companies now have the approval to sell their versions of Revlimid (lenalidomide) after March 2022. Revlimid
sales are expected to drop from US$ 12.9 billion to just US$ 2.06 billion in
2026.
BMS posted
US$ 46.4 billion in global revenues, a nine percent increase from US$ 42.5
billion reported in 2020. In immuno-oncology, Opdivo
brought in US$ 7.52
billion in sales, while Yervoy drew in sales of US$ 2 billion
(an increase of 20 percent).
J&J’s pharma division brought in US$ 52.1 billion in revenues
last year, an increase of 14 percent over its revenues of US$ 45.6 billion
posted in 2020. Drugs like Darzalex (for multiple myeloma), Stelara and its Covid-19 vaccine brought in growth during 2021,
helping J&J move up from number five to the number three slot. J&J’s Covid-19 vaccine brought in US$ 2.4 billion in
sales.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs by Sales in 2021 (Free Excel Available)
GSK bags
approval for shingles vaccine; Takeda suffers setbacks
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) slipped four places — from number three in 2020 to number seven in 2021. Though GSK did not have a drug in the top 10, sales of GSK and Vir Biotechnology’s Covid-19 antibody treatment
sotrovimab helped produce a seven percent increase in its 2021 revenue. The British drugmaker also bagged a critical FDA approval — its vaccine to prevent shingles (herpes zoster), Shingrix, bagged the agency’s nod in July. GSK hopes to double the sales of Shingrix by 2026.
GSK is also undergoing a major transformation, and plans to demerge its consumer health unit this year. The unit generated revenues of £9.6 billion (US$ 13 billion) last year, and GSK sees the demerger as a necessary step to fuel growth through the development of new vaccines and specialty medicines.
Sanofi managed to retain its ninth slot, even as
its global turnover increased from US$ 39.3 billion (Euro 36.04 billion) to US$
41.6 billion (Euro 37.76 billion). It snapped up Kymab, Tidal Therapeutics, Translate Bio, Kadmon Holdings, Origimm Biotechnology and Amunix in deals that bolstered its presence in immunology, immuno-oncology and vaccines. Dealmaking is on the French drugmaker’s menu for 2022 and beyond, Sanofi’s CFO said at this year’s virtual JP Morgan Healthcare Conference.
AstraZeneca’s global revenues grew from US$ 26.6 billion in 2020 to US$ 37.4 billion in 2021. However, its rank fell from nine in 2020 to 10 in 2021.
AstraZeneca
wrapped up the US$ 39 billion acquisition of Alexion in July 2021. Alexion’s rare disease franchise—led by C5 inhibitors Soliris and Ultomiris—added an extra US$ 3.1 billion to Astra’s top line last year.
Takeda suffered several clinical and regulatory setbacks in 2021, which it labeled as an “inflection year.” For Gilead, sales of its Covid-19 antiviral Veklury brought in US$ 5.6 billion last year,
helping its revenues grow by 11 percent.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs by Sales in 2021 (Free Excel Available)
Our view
If anything,
the pandemic has taught us that change is the only constant. It has also taught
us that products can become blockbusters in a matter of a few months.
The industry
landscape continues to change. On the one hand, we are seeing people scrambling
to get Covid vaccines and booster shots, on the other hand, the FDA has limited the use of monoclonal antibodies, such as Eli Lilly’s bamlanivimab and etesevimab and
Regeneron’s REGEN-COV (casirivimab and
imdevimab), in treating Covid caused by the Omicron variant. The FDA has also pulled the authorization
granted to GSK and Vir Biotechnology’s antibody therapy this month,
citing data that suggested it was unlikely to be effective against the dominant
Omicron sub-variant.
And last
week, there was news that demand for Pfizer’s
antiviral pill Paxlovid has remained unexpectedly low. The supply
of Paxlovid, which reduced hospitalizations or deaths in high-risk patients by
around 90 percent in a clinical trial, has far outstripped demand in many
countries like the US, the UK and South Korea.
Though Pfizer is hopeful of crossing US$ 100 billion in revenue this
year, much depends on how the pandemic pans out and what new research has to
say about the novel coronavirus. A lot will change once the pandemic becomes endemic.
The first four months of 2022 tell us that vaccines like Comirnaty and Spikevax
will continue to perform well.
But two years down the line, our charts could look very different.
Impressions: 8103