Now that it has been
established that the novel coronavirus is going to globally impact the drug
supply chain, it becomes imperative to analyze the extent of the impact.
Since the outbreak of
the novel coronavirus — COVID-19 — in December, PharmaCompass has been constantly reaching out to
manufacturers around the world to assess the current state of the drug supply
chain. This week, we share our preliminary analysis based on the feedback we
have received from drug manufacturers around the world.
Drug shortages are
for real
Last week, the US
Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announced the first human drug shortage
as a result of the coronavirus outbreak. In addition, the FDA announced it was
tracking 20 drugs that could face shortages. Some generic drugmakers are predicting shortages
as early as in June or July, due to the novel coronavirus.
The FDA did not disclose the name of the drug in shortage or the 20 drugs it is tracking, as this is considered ‘confidential commercial information’.
In India, a committee constituted by the country’s Department of Pharmaceuticals started monitoring the availability of 58 active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) to take preventive measures
against illegal hoarding and black-marketing in the country.
According to a report published in The Economic Times, after
reviewing the list of drugs, 34 were found to have no alternatives which
include critical and essential drugs like potassium clavulanate, ceftriaxone sodium sterile, piperacillin tazobactam, meropenem, vancomycin, gentamycin and ciprofloxacin.
This was immediately
followed by the Indian government restricting the exports of 13
APIs along with some of their finished formulations. The list includes paracetamol, tinidazole, metronidazole, acyclovir, vitamin B1, vitamin B6, vitamin B12, progesterone, chloramphenicol and neomycin. For most
of the products on this list, India is a net importer, as there is little
domestic manufacturing of these APIs.
COVID-19 is also
likely to impact bottomlines. Leading generic drugmaker Mylan said it expects the coronavirus outbreak to impact its financial results
while some of the largest drugmakers — including AstraZeneca, Merck and Pfizer — have said that the coronavirus outbreak could affect their supplies or sales.
Paracetamol
affected; prices double in less regulated markets
The decline in industrial activity in China is certainly taking its toll, as drugs which are on the World Health Organization’s Model list of Essential Medicines are beginning to face significant price increases in the wake of disruption of key starting raw materials for bulk drugs.
The export
restriction out of India on commonly used analgesic, Paracetamol — sold under the brand names such as Tylenol (in the US), Panadol (in the UK), Dafalgan (France) and Crocin
(India) — is not surprising as the API has witnessed almost doubling of prices in less regulated markets because exports of its key building block para-amino phenol (PAP) have dramatically reduced from China.
While there are only
a few manufacturers who produce paracetamol without being dependent on Chinese
PAP, a few major manufacturers in India depend almost completely on Chinese PAP
for their paracetamol production and usually only keep three to four months of
inventory.
By the end of
February, their inventory stockpiles had halved and in the event of a continued
supply disruption, their entire inventory pipeline is likely to dry out. In
addition, Chinese paracetamol manufacturers, who export a significant amount of
their bulk ingredient production globally, including to India, are also
currently unable to export. This is beginning to create the potential of panic
among sourcing executives across the world.
Several
antibiotics also in danger of acute shortages
While paracetamol was listed on the API watch list circulated by India’s Department of Pharmaceuticals, our survey has revealed that other products on the list like ciprofloxacin, amoxicillin and azithromycin are also facing severe raw material
shortages. As a result, the prices of these bulk drugs have also increased
sharply.
In a statement to The Economic Times, leading Indian generic manufacturer Mankind Pharma’s chairman and managing director said
amoxicillin is the most commonly used API to manufacture antibiotics and the
company has invested Rs 1 billion (US$ 14 million) in placing irregular orders
with vendors to try and address the potential shortage that is expected. He
went on to say that if the situation continues until April, there will be an
acute shortage.
In a statement to the US House of Representatives last October, Janet Woodcock, the FDA’s Director of Center of Drug Evaluation and Research, said the FDA has determined that there are three WHO Essential Medicines whose API manufacturers are based only in China. The three medicines are: capreomycin, streptomycin (both indicated to treat Mycobacterium
tuberculosis) and sulfadiazine (used to treat chancroid and trachoma).
Streptomycin is also on the watch list published by India’s Department of Pharmaceuticals along with commonly used anti-hypertensives like losartan, valsartan, telmisartan and olmesartan and diabetes treatment metformin.
Intermediates
becoming a problem for generic drugmakers
PharmaCompass’ discussions have also revealed that in many cases while API manufacturing factories in China have returned to work, there are disruptions in the availability of raw materials and/or logistics at sea ports and airports which have led to unavailability of supplies.
While the FDA has a
list of the number of API facilities in China which are in a position to supply
to the United States, Woodcock said in her statement that the FDA “cannot determine with any precision the volume of API that China is actually producing, or the volume of APIs manufactured in China that is entering the US market.”
This visibility
reduces drastically when one has to assess the dependence of each API
manufacturer around the world on China for intermediates. Our discussions have
revealed that it is these intermediates which are becoming a problem for most
API manufacturers, even those based in India.
It was worth
highlighting that a manufacturing process change at an intermediate stage of
commonly used blood pressure medicine valsartan resulted in the recall of
millions of pills as it was found to contain a cancer causing impurity above
acceptable levels. Similarly, in 2008, the adulteration of heparin in China,
which killed 81 people and left 785 severely injured, was an outcome of the
subcontracting of precursor chemicals of Heparin.
Our view
The over-dependence
on China for key starting materials has been the subject of discussion ever
since we launched PharmaCompass. Rosemary Gibson explored this subject
in detail in her book China Rx: Exposing the Risks of America’s Dependence on
China for Medicine.
The restrictions imposed on industrial activity and transportation in China in the first two months of this year has resulted in NASA’s satellite images showing a decline in pollution levels over China.
While China works
towards getting its industrial and transportation engine up and running to 2019
levels, the outbreak has spread to other countries which will further increase
the demand for drugs to fight the virus.
This is a time when
the pharmaceutical industry needs to act responsibly and make decisions which
are in the best interests of patients globally.
Sharing information is one such step — it will allow for drug stockpiles and inventories that exist to be re-distributed to areas which need them most. For, in the event of an urgent need, drugs will become available to those who are most in need.
Impressions: 8318
This week, PharmaCompass
reviews the recently released data on prescription drugs paid for under the
Medicare Part D Prescription Drug Program in the United States in calendar year
2016.
But first, let’s understand what is Medicare.
Medicare is the federal health insurance program in the US. In 2017, it covered 58.4 million people — 49.5 million aged 65 and older, and 8.9 million disabled.
Prescription drug coverage under this
program was started in 2006, and is known as Medicare Part D.
As part of this
coverage, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) contracts insurance
companies and other private companies, known as plan sponsors, that offer
prescription drug plans to their beneficiaries with varying drug coverage and
cost-sharing requirements.
In
2017, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) had estimated that spending on
Medicare Part D would reach US$ 94 billion, or about 16 percent of all Medicare
expenditures for the year.
Click here to access the compilation of Medicare Part D
Prescriber Summary Report
According
to the CBO, Medicare Part D is the most significant expansion of the Medicare
program since it was created by Congress in 1965.
With
more than 1.48 billion claims from beneficiaries enrolled under the Part D
prescription drug benefit program under its umbrella, our analysis of Medicare
Part D provides valuable insights into how elderly Americans use prescription
drugs.
Top 10 drugs by
cost: The ones that bore the highest cost burden for Medicare
As in 2015, in 2016
too Gilead’s Hepatitis C treatment — Ledipasvir/Sofosbuvir (Harvoni) — remained the single drug highest payout under the Medicare Part D Prescription Drug Program with a total cost of US$ 4.4 billion.
As Gilead continued
to face competition from AbbVie and Merck in the Hepatitis C space, the spending on Harvoni was down
37 percent from US$ 7.03 billion in 2015.
Click here to access the compilation of Medicare Part D
Prescriber Summary Report
Celgene’s cancer treatment, Lenalidomide (Revlimid), Sanofi and Merck’s diabetes treatments and AstraZeneca’s Crestor (Rosuvastatin Calcium) for
cholesterol followed Harvoni. All together, they cost the Medicare program over US$ 10 billion.
Generic Name
Number of Medicare Part D Claims
Number of Medicare Beneficiaries
Number of Prescribers
Aggregate Cost Paid for Part D
Claims (In USD)
LEDIPASVIR/ SOFOSBUVIR (HARVONI)
141,665
52,782
12,097
4,398,534,465
LENALIDOMIDE
239,049
35,368
10,382
2,661,106,127
LANTUS SOLOSTAR (INSULIN
GLARGINE, HUM.REC.ANLOG )
5,028,485
1,075,248
245,447
2,526,048,766
SITAGLIPTIN PHOSPHATE
4,742,505
864,442
206,223
2,440,013,513
ROSUVASTATIN CALCIUM
6,012,444
1,560,050
249,981
2,322,724,007
FLUTICASONE/SALMETEROL
5,194,391
1,196,007
275,442
2,319,808,482
PREGABALIN
4,940,115
852,497
267,532
2,098,953,250
RIVAROXABAN
4,403,332
807,820
252,141
1,954,748,890
APIXABAN
4,455,782
826,969
231,631
1,926,107,484
TIOTROPIUM BROMIDE
4,153,162
903,494
235,564
1,818,857,361
Click here to access the compilation of Medicare Part D
Prescriber Summary Report
Top 10 drugs by claims: The most commonly
used drugs of 2016
With 46.6 million claims, the thyroid hormone deficiency treatment — Levothyroxine Sodium — retained its position of being the most claimed product under Medicare’s Part D Prescription Drug Program in 2016.
The number of
Medicare Part D claims includes original prescriptions and refills.
Following Levothyroxine Sodium was the lipid-lowering agent — Atorvastatin Calcium — which had 44.5 million Medicare Part D claims that
were filed by almost 9.4 million beneficiaries.
Generic
Name
Number
of Prescribers
Number
of Medicare Part D Claims
Number
of Medicare Beneficiaries
LEVOTHYROXINE SODIUM
669,999
46,617,109
8,091,785
ATORVASTATIN CALCIUM
494,973
44,595,686
9,435,633
AMLODIPINE BESYLATE
497,017
39,913,468
7,802,905
LISINOPRIL
490,452
39,469,840
8,009,954
OMEPRAZOLE
492,951
32,909,236
7,001,160
METFORMIN HCL
611,700
31,007,932
6,394,014
SIMVASTATIN
380,560
29,687,947
6,201,911
HYDROCODONE/ACETAMINOPHEN
660,617
28,595,150
7,265,882
FUROSEMIDE
488,352
27,878,243
5,421,598
GABAPENTIN
555,997
27,627,466
5,363,382
Click here
to access the compilation of Medicare Part D Prescriber Summary Report
Top 10 drugs by prescribers: Medicines that were most popular with
doctors
Among the prescribers, albuterol sulfate (salbutamol) and Diltiazem had
over 900,000 unique providers (or
doctors) prescribing the drug.
Albuterol (salbutamol) is
used to provide quick relief from wheezing and shortness
of breath while Diltiazem is used to prevent chest
pain (angina).
Also
on the list of popular drugs with prescribers is Hydrocodone-Acetaminophen.
With more doctors prescribing Hydrocodone-Acetaminophen (an
opioid) than commonly used antibiotics, such as Cephalexin, Ciprofloxacin and Amoxicillin, the
series of new FDA initiatives to combat the epidemic of opioid misuse and abuse
should change the position of opioids in the top 10 drugs by prescribers in the
coming years.
Click here to access the compilation of Medicare Part D
Prescriber Summary Report
Generic
Name
Number of
Prescribers
Number of
Medicare Part D Claims
Number of
Medicare Beneficiaries
ALBUTEROL SULFATE
985,427
13,100,354
5,417,718
DILTIAZEM HCL
931,159
8,142,004
1,982,550
POTASSIUM CHLORIDE
879,491
18,945,969
4,278,000
PEN NEEDLE, DIABETIC
677,210
5,281,778
1,795,046
LEVOTHYROXINE SODIUM
669,999
46,617,109
8,091,785
HYDROCODONE/ACETAMINOPHEN
660,617
28,595,150
7,265,882
METFORMIN HCL
611,700
31,007,932
6,394,014
CEPHALEXIN
597,647
5,603,879
3,933,373
CIPROFLOXACIN HCL
594,129
7,000,081
4,851,657
AZITHROMYCIN
591,028
7,958,625
5,734,122
What does the
future hold?
Although the Part D Prescriber PUF (public use file) has a wealth of information on payment and utilization for Medicare Part D prescriptions, the dataset has a number of limitations. Of particular importance is the fact that the data may not be representative of a physician’s entire practice or all of Medicare as it only includes information on beneficiaries enrolled in the Medicare Part D prescription drug program (i.e., approximately two-thirds of all Medicare beneficiaries).
Click here to access the compilation of Medicare Part D
Prescriber Summary Report
Last
month, the Office of the Inspector General (OIG)
reviewed
the Part D claims data for the years 2011 to 2015 for brand-name drugs.
The OIG’s report found that the total reimbursement for all brand-name drugs in Part D increased 77 percent from 2011 to 2015, despite a 17-percent decrease in the number of prescriptions for these drugs.
With soaring drug prices being an issue for
regular debate in the Unites States and President Trump announcing that his
team will use strategies to strengthen the negotiating powers under
Medicare Part D and Part B, it remains to be seen how the data on prescription drugs paid for under
the Medicare Part D Prescription Drug Program will change in the coming years.
Click here to access the compilation of Medicare Part D
Prescriber Summary Report
Impressions: 2524
This week in Phispers, we bring you news on J&J’s Invokana, a drug that reduces heart risk while increasing the risk of amputation of toes. There is news from Google, which is tying up with India’s Aravind Eye Care System for its artificial intelligence eye doctor initiative. And WHO takes a step towards reducing antibiotic resistance by grouping antibiotics into ‘Access’, ‘Watch’ and ‘Reserve’.
Manufacturing errors trigger drug recalls by Lupin and Dr. Reddy’s in the US
Earlier this month,
we carried an article on the end of India’s pharma honeymoon.
News this week from Lupin and Cipla added another dimension to the problem as manufacturing
errors triggered drug recalls in the United States.
Lupin voluntarily recalled a lot of its birth control pills — Mibelas 24 Fe — in the US. A market complaint indicated a packaging error, making the lot number and expiration
date no longer visible. This product is an oral contraceptive for women.
As a result of the
packaging error, the FDA says the first four days of the birth control packet have four
non-hormonal placebo tablets as opposed to the active tablets. This may place
the user at risk for contraceptive failure and unintended pregnancy.
Similarly, Dr. Reddy’s had to recall hundreds of thousands of cartons of a popular acne medicine — Zenatane — manufactured by Cipla’s plant in Pune.
According to FDA enforcement reports, Dr. Reddy’s is recalling 190 lots, consisting of 778,279 cartons of its Zenatane brand isotretinoin capsules, in four dose sizes. The voluntary Class II recall was initiated in late May after the products failed dissolution testing.
During this period of
turmoil, the Indian company which is generating a lot of positive press is Cadila Healthcare.
Cadila’s US
division Zydus Pharmaceuticals’ subsidiary Nesher Pharmaceuticals has received final FDA approval to
market Nystatin Topical Powder, an anti-fungal
antibiotic used to treat skin infections caused by yeast.
There is more good
news from Zydus Cadila. After years of patent battles, the FDA has approved Zydus Cadila’s generic version
of Shire’s ulcerative colitis drug Lialda.
This came as a rude
shock to Shire investors who had believed the US$ 800 million drug was safe for
a few more years. However, there is a chance that instead of a flood of
generics, the Zydus' generic may be the only competition for Lialda for sometime.
Zydus Cadilla has indicated that its version will have a six-month exclusivity.
J&J’s diabetes
drug saves heart at the cost of toes; Sanofi’s insulin slashes hypoglycemia risks for seniors
Would you like to
sacrifice your toes to save yourself from a heart attack? Well, a diabetes drug
made by Johnson & Johnson (J&J), does just that. The drug — Invokana — decreases the risk of heart attacks and strokes, while increasing the risk of amputation,
particularly of toes.
According to the
results of the 10,142-patient study, funded by J&J, for every three heart
attacks, strokes, or cardiovascular deaths prevented by Invokana, there were
two amputations, 71 percent of them of toes or the lower foot.
While this is a setback to J&J, its rivals — Eli Lilly and Boehringer Ingelheim — who make a similar drug called Jardiance, may be cheering the findings of this
study, performed on sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors. These
drugs prevent the kidney from absorbing sugar from the blood.
But scientists are not sure why the drugs would prevent cardiovascular disease, and it’s unclear why one of them would lead to amputations. “It justifies the need to test each medicine,” Harlan Krumholz of Yale University said.
Another study
examining an at-risk population of seniors who
had switched to basal insulin found Sanofi’s Toujeo to outdo its peers at cutting the risk of
hypoglycemia in older patients.
During a six-month follow-up, the study found that amongst the ‘at-risk’ seniors, those taking Toujeo were 57 percent less likely to experience hypoglycemia than those who switched to competing insulins—such as Novo Nordisk’s Tresiba and Levemir, and Toujeo’s predecessor, Lantus.
Google ties up
with Indian hospital chain for artificial intelligence eye doctor initiative
Google will soon begin
work on a grand experiment that would use machines to widen access of
healthcare. If successful, this initiative will protect millions of diabetes patients
from an eye disease that leads to blindness.
Last year, researchers at Google had said they had trained image recognition algorithms to detect signs of diabetic retinopathy roughly as accurately as human experts. Left untreated, diabetic retinopathy causes blindness. The software examines photos of a patient’s retina to spot tiny aneurisms that would help detect early stages of the disease.
Google is working
with the Aravind Eye Care System in India, a network of eye hospitals, in order
to integrate this technology.
“This kind of blindness is completely preventable, but because people can’t get screened, half suffer vision loss before they’re detected,” Lily Peng, a product manager with the Google Brain AI research group, said. “One of the promises of this technology is being able to make healthcare more accessible.” There are more than 400 million people worldwide with diabetes, including 70 million in India.
FDA tells Endo to
pull out its opioid pain medication, as Gottlieb attacks addiction
Last week, the US FDA
asked drugmaker Endo Pharmaceuticals to remove its powerful opioid pain medication — Opana ER — from the market, due to “the public health consequences of abuse”.
“We are facing an opioid epidemic — a public health crisis — and we must take all necessary steps to reduce the scope of opioid misuse and abuse,” FDA Commissioner Dr. Scott Gottlieb said. “We will continue to take regulatory steps when we see situations where an opioid product’s risks outweigh its benefits, not only for its intended patient population but also in regard to its potential for misuse and abuse,” he added.
Opioid overdoses killed 33,000
Americans in 2015, with half of those involving a prescription opioid.
Opana ER, which is oxymorphone hydrochloride, is used to manage severe pain. The FDA
approved it for this use in 2006. The drug is about twice as powerful as OxyContin, another often abused opioid.
In 2012, Endo
reformulated the drug to make it more resistant to physical and chemical
tampering. While the drug met the standards for approval, FDA says Endo never
showed that the reformulation would reduce abuse.
Amgen loses bid to delay Novartis’ biosimilar; FDA rejects Coherus’ biosimilar for Neulasta
Amgen lost a case in the Supreme Court of the United States that
sought to delay biosimilars of its rivals. Amgen had argued that its biosimilar rivals
should be forced to delay their 180-day marketing notices until the FDA had
made up its mind on the marketing application.
However, on Monday, the Supreme Court took a decision by determining that the law never imposed a two-tier timing system for these notices. Therefore “the applicant may provide notice either before or after receiving FDA approval.”
This has proven to be
a clear win for Sandoz — the generic unit of Novartis that is fielding an array of copycat biologics. The group is launching a copy of Amgen’s Neupogen. And in the process, Sandoz has
unleashed a fresh wave of biosimilars hitting the US market.
However, Amgen won somewhere else — the FDA rejected Coherus Biosciences’ application for a biosimilar of Amgen’s blockbuster Neulasta (a drug that fights infections in cancer
patients). This action effectively delays any rival until 2018, at the
earliest.
The FDA's response
comes as Amgen gears up for biosimilar competition for Neulasta, which
generated about US$ 4.6 billion in sales last year. The FDA requested Coherus
for a re-analysis of certain data and asked the drug developer for more
manufacturing information.
WHO updates list
of essential medicines; groups antibiotics into three categories
Last week, the World
Health Organization (WHO) released its Essential Medicines List (EML), with a
new advice on which antibiotics to use for common infections and which to
preserve for serious circumstances. Amongst the additions to the WHO Model list of essential medicines
for 2017 are medicines for HIV, hepatitis C, tuberculosis and leukaemia.
The EML is used by
many countries to increase access to medicines. The updated list has added 30
drugs for adults and 25 for children, and specifies new uses for 9
already-listed products. In all, it contains 433 drugs deemed essential to
address the most important public health needs.
This time, WHO has grouped antibiotics into three categories – ACCESS, WATCH and RESERVE – with recommendations on when each category should be used.
Initially, the new
categories apply only to antibiotics used to treat 21 of the most common
general infections. If found useful, it could be broadened in future versions
of the EML to apply to drugs to treat other infections.
Antibiotics in the
ACCESS group must be available at all times as treatments for a wide range of
common infections. It includes drugs like amoxicillin, an antibiotic used to treat infections such as
pneumonia.
The WATCH group
includes antibiotics that are recommended as first- or second-choice treatments
for a small number of infections. For example, the use of ciprofloxacin, used to treat cystitis (a type of
urinary tract infection) and upper respiratory tract infections (such as
bacterial sinusitis and bacterial bronchitis), should be dramatically reduced
to avoid further development of resistance.
The third group, RESERVE, includes antibiotics that should be considered as last resorts, such as colistin and some cephalosporins. These must be used
only in the most severe circumstances when all other alternatives have failed.
Impressions: 3413
With Novartis shutting two plants in Germany and one in India by 2016-end, the global reliance on China for bulk drugs has increased even further, raising serious concerns over safety, supplies and national security. Which
plants? Last week, Novartis announced it will be shutting three plants of its generic business – Sandoz – by the end of 2016. The first plant is in India and the other two are located in Germany, in Gerlingen and Frankfurt. Frankfurt,
manufacturer of a key antibiotic intermediateThe Frankfurt plant is where Sandoz manufactures
7-ACA
(7-aminocephalosporanic acid), the core chemical structure (building block)
for producing a whole host of cephalosporin antibiotics. The reason given for closure -- prices of the cephalosporin active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) and intermediates have collapsed as Asian competitors have dumped excess capacity on the market. The shutdown of the Frankfurt facility
means that the global reliance on China for APIs, used to produce antibiotics
(such as cephalosporin) and especially
7-ACA, will increase only further. Chinese
APIs are already a security threat for India India produces a third of the world's
medicines, mostly in the form of generic drugs. However, according to an Oct 2014 report
by a Boston Consulting Group (BCG) and Confederation of Indian Industry (CII), more
than 90 percent of the key raw materials (intermediates and APIs) that go into
making at least 15-odd essential drugs come from China.The drugs listed include the most commonly used painkiller such as paracetamol, aspirin; antibiotics such as amoxicillin and ampicillin, cephalexin, cefaclor, ciprofloxacin, ofloxacin, levofloxacin; first line diabetes drug metformin; and antacid ranitidine. There are no domestic producers left for many drugs such as penicillin-G, and its derivative 6-aminopenicillanic acid, or 6-APA.Since India is still receiving a large quantity of 7-ACA from Germany (confirmed by the import statistics available on the PharmaCompass database), 7-ACA and its derivatives were not mentioned in this report.As per news reports, the Indian government
is now worried about over-dependence on imports from China. "Any
deterioration in relationship with China can potentially result in severe
shortages in the supply of essential drugs to the country. Additionally, China
could easily increase prices of some of these drugs where it enjoys virtual
monopoly," said Bart Janssens, partner, BCG, in a news
report published in The Economic Times. Recognizing the national healthcare
security challenge facing India, the Department of Pharmaceuticals (DoP) has
decided to declare the year 2015 as ‘Year of Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients.’ As part of this initiative, the Indian government intends
to build
cluster parks to boost India’s self-reliance on Chinese imports. Quality,
environmental concerns over Chinese AntibioticsChinese supplies of 7-ACA have been plagued
with multiple issues in the past. In 2012, for instance, several Chinese drug
companies were accused of manufacturing 7-ACA using contaminated ‘gutter oil’, instead of more
expensive soybean oil. Gutter oil is reprocessed oil manufactured from waste oil and animal fat collected from restaurants’ fryers, drains, grease traps and slaughterhouses. Chinese restaurants can get through a lot of cooking oil and this waste oil fuels a highly profitable gutter oil black market as there are few other outlets, such as biofuel production, for this by-product.Similarly, antibiotic pollution in the rivers of China is a serious cause of concern for the Chinese. Our previous analysis, “Antibiotic
resistant superbugs: deadlier than cancer and closer to you than you think” provides a detailed overview regarding the challenge being faced. However, with growing focus on antibiotic pollution in China, a shutdown of factories failing pollution norms would be a severe setback for the global antibiotic supply chain. In addition to these challenges, quality concerns have been raised during international regulatory inspections of some of the leading antibiotic producers in China, like Zhuhai
United and North
China Pharmaceutical Company. South
African stock outs of essential drugs a global concernThe outcomes of these challenges are already being felt in countries such as South Africa which are facing an acute shortage of critical drugs. According to a report
published in Groundup, drug shortages in South Africa’s health facilities have become a crisis. The story mentioned the situation in a hospital (Stanger Hospital) in Ilembe District KwaZulu Natal, where 200 products were out of stock. These included various doses of morphine, some antibiotics and antiretrovirals, especially paediatric ones, used to treat HIV. “About a hundred patients per week are going without ranitidine which prevents stomach ulcers. Several Ilembe facilities are even out of stock of paracetamol tablets,” the Groundup report said. There are multiple reasons for the drug stock
outs. However, unprofitability because old, off-patent products are being sold by
manufacturers at prices very close to the cost of production has played a major
role. Firms are abandoning such products and seeking higher return
alternatives. In addition, due to quality failures suppliers are unable to provide lifesaving medications to the South African population. Our
ViewThe problems of stock outs and quality concerns in South Africa can easily expand across the world and can’t be addressed until the global pharmaceutical industry reduces its reliance on China for bulk drugs and intermediates. It remains to be seen if the threat to the global supply chain will make Novartis reconsider its decision or drive a national government to buy the Frankfurt facility.
Impressions: 7576
The
global war on superbugs, bacteria that grow
resistant to drugs, infect humans and defy conventional medicines, just opened another
battlefront when antibiotic contamination was found in
rivers in China, which wasn’t a result of the factories that produce the antibiotics. The
situation in China can easily be replicated in other countries in the world and
in turn, could totally impact you. Latest situation in ChinaIn
the first ever comprehensive study done in China, at the
Guanzhou Institute of
Geochemistry,
rivers around densely populated regions were found to be contaminated with
antibiotics at alarmingly high levels. China
the largest producer and user of antibiotics in the world, measured
environmental concentrations (MECs) of ciprofloxacin, norfloxacin, ofloxacin, and norfloxacin at
levels up to 7560 ng/L compared with Italy (9 ng/L), USA (up to 120 ng/L) and
Germany (20 ng/L). Seven antibiotics were
found to have concentrations of over 1,000 nanograms per liter in the
environment, a level of extremely serious concern. Bacterial resistance
rates in hospitals (i.e. superbugs) are found to be directly correlated to the
environemental concentrations levels and usage of antibiotics. The Haihe River and
the Pearl Rivers, which flow through major Chinese citites of Beijing, Tianjing,
Shenzhen and Guangzhou, were found to be the most severely antibiotic-polluted water
basins. China’s Pearl River Delta,
has overtaken Tokyo to become the world’s largest urban area in both size and population. The
report, focused on 36 frequently
detected antibiotics in China and their environmental impact. The total usage
for the 36 selected chemicals was 92,700 tons in 2013 with approximately 54,000
tons of antibiotics excreted by human and animals, almost all of which, entered
the environement. It is estimated that half of all antibiotics
in China are consumed by animal livestock. Farmers overuse and abuse of antibiotics, by adding them directly to animals’ feed to promote growth. A key
contributor to the environmental contamination problem is that up to 75 percent of antibiotics, fed to animals get excreted into the environment without any waste treatment. What are the Chinese doing about it?While,
China has no established limits for the allowable level of antibiotics in the environment,
there is a strong sense of urgency to address the problem. As part of the
initiatives taken, the Chinese Academy of Sciences has drawn up an Antibiotic Intensity Map of all the country's 58 river basins to monitor the levels
of antibiotics at all times. In addition, the Chinese government is taking necessary measures against facilities, which are polluting the
environment to ensure compliance. Measures
taken need to be watched closely as China is the antibiotic supplier to most
countries in the world. As the Chinese crackdown occurs on factories polluting
the environment, European regulators have been suspending imports from Chinese
factories for GMP compliance concerns (Zhuhai United is the latest to get a
non-compliance report). Antibiotics resistance will overtake
cancer in number of deaths by 2050Globally
all countries, including China are aware that antibiotics resistance is a global healthcare challenge that will overtake cancer
in number of deaths by 2050 and cost the world economy almost $100 trillion. Not
only will antibiotic resistance become the leading cause of deaths by 2050, 90% of the 10 million deaths are expected to
occur in Asia and Africa. Deaths by comparison for cancer are estimated to be 8.3 million, diabetes 1.5 million, diarrhea 1.4 million and road accidents 1.2 million. Countries
like South Africa, where the government is battling a drug shortage crisis, is
an outcome of the situation in China as there is unavailability of commonly prescribed
antibiotics. The use of antibiotics, has become integral to the global medical and food systems. However, the concerns over the resistance to antibiotics has been declared a “national security priority” by the White House while the WHO calls it a serious, worldwide threat to public health. The
Chinese study, has added a new dimension to this global war, where
contamination of antibiotics in the water we drink has been highlighted. Contamination
caused by human and animal excrement more than the factories producing the
antibiotics. Since
humans and animals consume antibiotics globally and there is a carry over of
these antibiotics into the environment, it is worth questioning if the water we
drink is being controlled for antibiotic levels? After
all, the harm caused by passive smoking has created smoke-free laws, would it
be completely ridiculous to discuss antibiotics-free environment legislation?
Impressions: 2979
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Ltd., which acquired Cephalon in 2012, will make a total payment of $1.2 billion as part of a ‘pay-for-delay’ settlement reached with the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) last week.
What exactly did Cephalon, for which Teva paid $6.8 billion, do so wrong? Isn’t ‘pay-for-delay’ common practice in the pharmaceutical industry?
First of all what is a
pay-for-delay?
‘Pay for delay’ or reverse payment patent settlements, are agreements where the brand name drug manufacturer compensates generics, not to market the generic product for a specific period of time.
These settlements allow the brand manufacturers to extend their
patent monopolies and according to an FTC study, these deals
cost consumers and taxpayers $3.5 billion in higher drug costs every year.
What exactly happens and
why is it a big deal now?
Cephalon allegedly paid four generic drug companies (Teva, Ranbaxy Pharmaceuticals, Mylan Pharmaceuticals, and Barr Laboratories), over $300 million in total. In return the generics agreed to drop their patent challenges and forgo marketing of their generic versions of Cephalon’s blockbuster sleep-disorder drug Provigil, for six years, until April 2012.
An extended monopoly for Provigil, in the absence of generic competition, was “$4 billion in sales that no one expected”, the CEO of Cephalon reportedly said when the deal was struck.
While in Europe, regulators have been going after pay-for-delay cases for years, it was only as recently as 2013, in FTC v. Actavis, that the U.S. Supreme Court made clear that reverse payment patent settlements are subject to the same antitrust rules that govern general U.S. business conduct.
The payment made by Teva will compensate purchasers, including drug wholesalers, pharmacies, and insurers, who overpaid because of Cephalon’s illegal conduct, is the first positive outcome for the FTC after the Supreme Court ruling.
How common are ‘pay-for-delay’ settlements?
Based on data provided by the FTC, for the past few years, more
than 100 settlements are reached annually between brand and generic
pharmaceutical companies.
Over 30% of these settlements have the potential of being ‘pay-for-delay’ agreements.
Table// Potential
pay-for-delay settlements reached between brand and generic companies:
Financial Year
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Final Settlements:
between brand and generic companies
14
11
28
33
66
68
113
156
140
145
Involving First Generic Filing
8
5
11
16
29
32
49
54
43
41
Potential Pay-for-Delay:
Involving First Generic Filing
2
9
11
13
15
26
18
23
13
Settlements
3
14
14
16
19
31
28
40
29
How severe are the penalties for ‘pay-for-delay’ settlements in Europe?
The European Commission has
fined Johnson
& Johnson (J&J) just under 10.8 million
euros and Novartis 5.49 million euros, after discovering a ‘pay-for-delay’ deal on the painkiller Duragesic (fentanyl).
The amount pales in comparison to
the whopping €428m fine on Servier and several other companies (Niche/ Unichem; Matrix, which is now part of Mylan; Teva; Krka and Lupin) for conspiring to delay generics of the widely-used blood pressure drug Coversyl/ Aceon (perindopril).
In yet another settlement, agreements which operated in 2002 and
2003 between the Danish originator Lundbeck, and other
generic companies, resulted in Euro
146 million in fines.
What should we expect in the future?
Based on an FTC
presentation made in September 2014, they highlighted 19 Cases to Watch, which has them targeting almost every
major brand and generic pharmaceutical company. However, with the complexities
involved, this list is continuously evolving:
The
cases (by name of the brand product) Actos,
Adderall,
Aggrenox,
AndroGel,
Cipro,
Effexor,
K-Dur, Lamictal, Lidoderm,
Lipitor,
Loestrin,
Nexium,
Niaspan,
Opana,
Provigil,
Skelaxin,
Solodyn,
Wellbutrin.The
brand companies involvedAbbvie,
Abbott,
AstraZeneca,
Bayer,
Besins,
Biovail,
Boehringer,
Cephalon,
Endo,
GlaxoSmithKline,
King,
Medicis,
Pfizer,
Shire,
Schering,
Takeda,
Warner
Chilcott, Wyeth.The
generic companies Actavis
, Barr,
Duramed,
Dr. Reddy’s, HMR, Impax,
Lupin,
Mutual,
Mylan, Par, Perrigo,
Ranbaxy,
Rugby, Sandoz,
Teva,
Upsher
Smith.
Our view:
Pharmaceutical companies,
lawyers and the FTC will be busy for the coming few years, since there are a
series of suits, which will be challenging settlements reached between brand
and generic pharmaceutical companies.
While patents
provide temporary monopolies to promote innovation, brand drug manufacturers
will need to resort to more innovative ways of sustaining their profits.
Click here and learn about the different strategies adopted in the United States to block generics?
Impressions: 3439
Over
700 commonly used generic medicines were
recommended for suspension by the European Medicines Agency (EMA) based on data
integrity concerns, over clinical studies conducted at GVK Biosciences in
Hyderabad, India.What
will be the global fallout of the European decision? The European decision has
impacted products from companies such as:Abbott Laboratories, Accord Healthcare (Intas), Actavis, Alembic, Apotex, Betapharm (Dr. Reddy’s), Brown & Burk UK, Fair Med Healthcare AG, Glenmark, Lupin, Micro Labs, Mylan, Orion Corporation, Ranbaxy, Ratiopharm, Sandoz, Sanofi-Aventis, Stada, Teva, Torrent, Wockhardt, Zydus… and many, many more.The
original recommendation of suspending
some of the medicines
made in January 2015, was an outcome of an inspection of GVK Biosciences’ site in Hyderabad (GVK BIO is a Clinical Research Organization-
CRO) by the
French medicines agency (ANSM) through the EMA. The EMA stated in their official release: “The
inspection revealed data manipulations of electrocardiograms (ECGs) during the
conduct of some studies of generic medicines, which appeared to have taken
place over a period of at least five years. Their systematic nature, the
extended period of time during which they took place and the number of members
of staff involved cast doubt on the integrity of the conduct of trials at the
site.” 1000 drugs reviewed// 700
rejectedWhile
over 1,000 pharmaceutical forms and strengths were reviewed at the GVK site,
over 300 of them had sufficient supporting data available from other sources.
As a result, these medicines were allowed to remain on the market in the EU.However, for the over 700 other medicines, the EMA after its second review, maintained its previous recommendation of January 2015, to suspend medicines, where no additional supporting data from other studies was available. Only one exception after that second review was spared from suspension, as the company was able to address the EMA’s concerns: it was Bivolet Nebivolol (5 mg tablets/ marketing authorisation holder: Neo Balkanika EOOD).While the agency noted that “there is no evidence of harm or
lack of effectiveness linked to the conduct of studies by GVK Biosciences at
Hyderabad. Some of these medicines may remain on the market” if they are of critical importance for patients. However, the recommendation
will now be sent to the European Commission for a legally binding decision,
which will apply to Member States regardless of the decision taken in the
interim period.The updated list of medicines for which, the CHMP (Committee
for Medicinal Products for Human Use) recommends suspension, is available on the EMA website. Companies
are given 12 months to submit additional data. The potential global impact of the European
suspensions?The GVK Biosciences
scandal is almost as severe in magnitude and impact, as the data falsification
concerns, which were discovered at Ranbaxy (Katherine Eban’s stunning investigation in Fortune, “Dirty Medicine” covers this extensively). One of the main promoters of GVK Biosciences is Mr. D.S. Brar who was CEO & Managing Director of Ranbaxy from 1999-2004. The impact of GVK
Biosciences’ misdeeds is already being felt on new product launches. Mylan recently withdrew its European application for generic
Abilify (aripiprazole) (2014 sales US$6.2x billion) citing “identification of major GCP issues (Good
Clinical Practices).” What about the impact on the US market?In 2010, FDA discovered data integrity
violations, which bankrupted
clinical research organization, Cetero Research/PRACS. Based on the Cetero findings
in the United States, the EMA suspended seven drugs. Now it remains to
be seen, how the FDA will handle the data integrity concerns found in Europe
since products like repaglinide & candesartan cilexitil (Mylan), levetiracetam (Dr. Reddy’s), clonazepam (Sandoz), metformin hydrochloride (Actavis), tacrolimus (Panacea Biotech) all have U.S. FDA approvals. Leading GVK Biosciences’ defense is the Indian government, who warned last month that if the European Union does not reconsider their decision, it may go to the World Trade Organization. The Indian government’s position is based on an appeal by GVK Biosciences, which made the “Indian government set up a panel of experts last year to investigate
the matter and found no manipulation”, GVK Biosciences CEO Manni Kantipudi told Reuters.However, globally reputed GMP expert, Lachman Consultants, believes that the GVK Bioscience episode “could potentially impact data integrity, similar to the Cetero/PRACS
case”.It’s clear for us that this is not the end of the story…
Impressions: 4168
Unrelated to the inspection of
the USFDA at the Dr. Reddys Srikakulam facility, Dr. Reddys sought permission from the Ministry of Environment,
Forests & Climate Change to expand
their drug and intermediate manufacturing at three locations.
All three chemical technical operation (CTO) units, CTO-I, CTO-II & CTO-III are located in Medak district and the announced planned capacity increases along with the anticipated capital investment were
Existing Capacity
Planned Capacity
Anticipated Investment
CTO I
14.7 TPM
45.5 TPM
Rs 30 crores
CTO II
21.9 TPM
68.9 TPM
Rs 45 crores
CTO - III
4.45 TPM
28.1 TPM
Rs 12 crores
*$1 million is approximately about Rs 6.2
crores & TPM is tons per month
In addition, the declaration given by Dr. Reddys also mentions the various products which will be produced at each facility (table below).
Needless to say, the plans are ambitious however with the growth witnessed by the Indian pharmaceutical industry over the past decade, one can understand Dr. Reddys commitment to investing further in their business.
Table Dr. Reddys production plans at various facilities
Product
Name
Planned
Capacity (TPM)
Facility
Location
Alendronate
Sodium Trihydrate
6.67
CTO
- III
Alfuzosin
2.33
CTO
- I
Altretamine
0.03
CTO
- I
Amlodipine
Besylate
33.33
CTO
- II
Amlodipine
Besylate
133.33
CTO
- III
Amlodipine
Besylate ( Ethyl 4 [2- (pthalamide)ethoxy] aceto acetate (TDM-2)
100
CTO
- II
Amlodipine
Maleate
30
CTO
- III
Amsacrine
0.07
CTO
- I
Anastrazole
0.83
CTO
- II
Aprepitant
3.33
CTO
- III
Aripiprazole
0.33
CTO
- II
Atomoxetine
1.67
CTO
- III
Atorvastatin
375.83
CTO
- II
Azacitidine
0.67
CTO
- I
Bicalutamide
0.03
CTO
- II
Bivalirudin
0.03
CTO
- II
Bivalirudin
Trifluoro Acetate
0.03
CTO
- I
Bortezomib
0.03
CTO
- I
Cabazitaxel
0.02
CTO
- I
Candesartan
cilexetil
6.67
CTO
- II
Cetirizine
Hydrochloride
66.67
CTO
- I
Cetirizine
16.67
CTO
- II
Ciprofloxacin
176.67
CTO
- II
Ciprofloxacin
HCl
533.33
CTO
- II
Ciprofloxacin Lactate
33.33
CTO
- II
Clopidogrel
Bisulfate
500
CTO
- I
Clopidogrel Premix
166.67
CTO
- II
Diluted
Everolimus 5% (Everolimus)
0.33
CTO
- II
Disodium
Pamidronate
0.33
CTO
- III
Docetaxel
1.9
CTO
- I
Dutasteride
3.33
CTO
- II
Esomeprazole
magnesium
66.67
CTO
- III
Ezetimibe
3.33
CTO
- II
Fexofenadine
Hydrochloride
500
CTO
- I
Finasteride
10
CTO
- II
Fluoxetine
110
CTO
- I
Fondaparinux
Sodium
0.33
CTO
- II
Galantamine
0.03
CTO
- II
Gemcitabine
13.33
CTO
- I
Glimepiride
13.33
CTO
- II
Imatinib
0.17
CTO
- I
Irinotecan
0.33
CTO
- I
Ketorolac
66.67
CTO
- II
Lacidipine
5
CTO
- III
Lamotrigine
33.33
CTO
- I
Lansoprozole
8.33
CTO
- III
Letrozole
0.03
CTO
- II
Levocetrizine
Di HCl
10
CTO
- III
Levofloxacin
200
CTO
- II
Lomustine
1.33
CTO
- I
Losartan
Postassium
150
CTO
- I
Meloxicam
0.03
CTO
- I
Memantine
HCl
3.33
CTO
- II
Mesalamine
0.03
CTO
- II
Metoprolol
Succinate
266.67
CTO
- II
Moxifloxacin
116.67
CTO
- II
Norfloxacin
0.03
CTO
- I
Omeprazole
133.33
CTO
- III
Omeprazole
Magnesium
50
CTO
- III
Omeprazole
Sodium
10
CTO
- III
Omerprazole Form B
33.33
CTO
- III
Paclitaxel
0.33
CTO
- I
Pantoprazole
Sodium
100
CTO
- III
paroxetine
HCl
0.03
CTO
- II
Pemetrexed
0.67
CTO
- I
Rabeprazole
Sodium
83.33
CTO
- III
Raloxifene
33.33
CTO
- II
Ramipril
100
CTO
- III
Repaglinide
6.67
CTO
- II
Rivastigmine
6.67
CTO
- II
Risperidone
13.33
CTO
- I
Rivastigmine
6.667
CTO
- I
Rizatriptan
Benzoate
1.33
CTO
- II
Rocuronium
Bromide
0.03
CTO
- II
Ropinrole
HCl
1.83
CTO
- III
Rosiglitazone
3.33
CTO
- II
Sparfloxacin
3.33
CTO
- I
Tacrolimus
5
CTO
- II
Tadalafil
3.33
CTO
- II
Telmisartan
100
CTO
- II
Temozolamide
0.03
CTO
- I
Terbinafine
HCl
133.33
CTO
- III
Tizanidine
HCl
16.67
CTO
- III
Topotecan
0.07
CTO
- I
valganciclovir
0.03
CTO
- I
Vardenafil
3.33
CTO
- II
Voriconazole
8.33
CTO
- III
Ziprasidone
Hydrochloride
100
CTO
- I
Zoledronic
acid
0.33
CTO
- III
Zolmitriptan
0.83
CTO
- I
Zonisamide
0.03
CTO
- II
Impressions: 3164